Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2248.023171 2435.378199 2624.428797 2829.180320 3044.373307 3263.541411 3503.329465
2025-06-22 1936.839049 2217.296817 2510.363323 2838.254883 3193.685061 3566.185208 3984.935901
2025-06-29 1726.531656 2061.524585 2420.891679 2832.612106 3288.819023 3776.506359 4334.908070
2025-07-06 1518.287808 1884.440336 2286.707922 2757.374928 3288.935668 3866.851830 4538.820153
2025-07-13 1447.649680 1852.617046 2305.894761 2844.867449 3462.378483 4142.203090 4941.611627
2025-07-20 1363.854737 1797.489268 2291.536663 2887.922693 3580.330429 4351.358970 5267.255893
2025-07-27 1272.986913 1727.020405 2253.328812 2897.930966 3655.768770 4508.716549 5531.486524
2025-08-03 1184.833561 1653.833332 2206.719684 2893.349196 3710.244949 4638.901127 5762.196556
2025-08-10 1116.373612 1600.310006 2179.775516 2908.608834 3785.064346 4790.369598 6015.799866
2025-08-17 1040.012714 1532.421239 2131.528947 2894.793703 3822.536147 4896.111157 6214.704991
2025-08-24 989.391969 1494.263390 2117.331014 2920.110719 3905.002303 5053.411704 6473.074570
2025-08-31 923.871536 1433.247046 2071.580862 2903.945008 3935.184863 5147.225772 6655.635349
2025-09-07 894.745645 1419.572717 2085.689195 2962.858769 4058.289664 5354.041839 6975.316391
2025-09-14 846.460838 1377.867728 2062.135013 2973.187155 4121.029149 5488.390248 7209.363202
2025-09-21 795.153088 1329.308263 2027.408788 2967.351843 4162.180600 5595.586389 7410.260723
2025-09-28 719.186733 1242.555493 1939.104839 2889.723712 4111.027589 5588.471736 7471.792663
2025-10-05 712.658922 1253.579775 1980.598850 2979.994870 4271.207774 5840.091177 7847.167980
2025-10-12 689.665625 1239.613172 1987.496506 3024.407043 4372.981942 6019.996091 8135.862796
2025-10-19 655.895410 1208.210964 1969.333670 3034.729772 4430.546975 6144.922547 8357.452364
2025-10-26 619.028120 1170.366637 1940.803746 3030.004090 4467.835371 6244.071379 8547.180905
2025-11-02 591.248153 1144.824681 1928.248017 3045.742736 4530.901863 6375.046519 8776.090468
2025-11-09 555.443505 1105.181938 1894.408254 3031.493977 4554.045828 6455.364943 8942.092323
2025-11-16 534.288766 1087.328586 1890.698522 3057.605120 4629.547980 6601.483044 9189.913725